Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000184 0.000204 0.000226 0.000251 0.000280 0.000311 0.000347
2025-02-16 0.000143 0.000172 0.000206 0.000248 0.000301 0.000364 0.000447
2025-02-23 0.000119 0.000151 0.000191 0.000245 0.000317 0.000410 0.000541
2025-03-02 0.000104 0.000138 0.000183 0.000247 0.000337 0.000461 0.000647
2025-03-09 0.000092 0.000127 0.000175 0.000246 0.000352 0.000505 0.000749
2025-03-16 0.000080 0.000114 0.000162 0.000236 0.000350 0.000524 0.000814
2025-03-23 0.000073 0.000107 0.000157 0.000237 0.000365 0.000569 0.000927
2025-03-30 0.000070 0.000105 0.000158 0.000246 0.000393 0.000637 0.001087
2025-04-06 0.000063 0.000097 0.000150 0.000241 0.000397 0.000665 0.001182
2025-04-13 0.000056 0.000088 0.000139 0.000229 0.000388 0.000670 0.001233
2025-04-20 0.000053 0.000085 0.000137 0.000230 0.000402 0.000717 0.001372
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000083 0.000137 0.000237 0.000426 0.000785 0.001564
2025-05-04 0.000047 0.000078 0.000131 0.000233 0.000430 0.000817 0.001691
2025-05-11 0.000044 0.000075 0.000129 0.000234 0.000446 0.000875 0.001887
2025-05-18 0.000041 0.000071 0.000125 0.000232 0.000454 0.000920 0.002059
2025-05-25 0.000039 0.000069 0.000123 0.000234 0.000470 0.000982 0.002288
2025-06-01 0.000037 0.000066 0.000120 0.000233 0.000481 0.001036 0.002505
2025-06-08 0.000034 0.000061 0.000113 0.000223 0.000470 0.001038 0.002590
2025-06-15 0.000032 0.000059 0.000111 0.000224 0.000484 0.001101 0.002852
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000059 0.000112 0.000233 0.000516 0.001212 0.003272
2025-06-29 0.000029 0.000056 0.000108 0.000228 0.000516 0.001242 0.003464
2025-07-06 0.000027 0.000052 0.000101 0.000217 0.000500 0.001227 0.003515
2025-07-13 0.000026 0.000050 0.000100 0.000218 0.000514 0.001296 0.003850